GROUP BEHAVIOR

21 min read

The Matthew effect of accumulated advantage, sometimes called the Matthew principle, is the tendency of individuals to accrue social or economic success in proportion to their initial level of popularity, friends, and wealth.

It is sometimes summarized by the adage or platitude --"the rich get richer and the poor get poorer". The term was coined by sociologists  and takes its name from loose interpretation of the Parable of the Talents in the biblical Gospel of Matthew.

The Matthew effect may largely be explained by preferential attachment, whereby wealth or credit is distributed among individuals according to how much they already have. This has the net effect of making it increasingly difficult for low ranked individuals to increase their totals because they have fewer resources to risk over time, and increasingly easy for high rank individuals to preserve a large total because they have a large amount to risk.

BIBLE QUOTES

For to every one who has will more be given, and he will have abundance; but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away.— Matthew 25:29, RSV.

I tell you, that to every one who has will more be given; but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away.

— Luke 19:26, RSV.

The concept concludes two of the three synoptic versions of the parable of the lamp under a bushel (absent in the version of Matthew):

For to him who has will more be given; and from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away.— Mark 4:25, RSV.

Take heed then how you hear; for to him who has will more be given, and from him who has not, even what he thinks that he has will be taken away.— Luke 8:18, RSV.

The concept is presented again in Matthew outside of a parable during Christ's explanation to his disciples of the purpose of parables:

And he answered them, "To you it has been given to know the secrets of the kingdom of heaven, but to them it has not been given. For to him who has will more be given, and he will have abundance; but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away."— Matthew 13:11–12, RSV.

SOCIOLOGY OF MATTHEW EFFECT

In the sociology of science, "Matthew effect" was a term coined by Robert K. Merton and Harriet Anne Zuckerman to describe how, among other things, eminent scientists will often get more credit than a comparatively unknown researcher, even if their work is similar; it also means that credit will usually be given to researchers who are already famous

. For example, a prize will almost always be awarded to the most senior researcher involved in a project, even if all the work was done by a graduate student. This was later formulated by Stephen Stigler as Stigler's law of eponymy – "No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer" – with Stigler explicitly naming Merton as the true discoverer, making his "law" an example of itself.Merton and Zuckerman furthermore argued that in the scientific community the Matthew effect reaches beyond simple reputation to influence the wider communication system, playing a part in social selection processes and resulting in a concentration of resources and talent. They gave as an example the disproportionate visibility given to articles from acknowledged authors, at the expense of equally valid or superior articles written by unknown authors. They also noted that the concentration of attention on eminent individuals can lead to an increase in their self-assurance, pushing them to perform research in important but risky problem areas. Amazon Reviews

Experiments manipulating download counts or bestseller lists for books and music have shown consumer activity follows the apparent popularity -the number and positivity of customer reviews positively influence product purchace

Sports

A model for career progress quantitatively incorporates the Matthew Effect in order to predict the distribution of individual career length in competitive professions. The model predictions are validated by analyzing the empirical distributions of career length for careers in science and professional sports (e.g. Major League Baseball  As a result, the disparity between the large number of short careers and the relatively small number of extremely long careers can be explained by the "rich-get-richer" mechanism, which in this framework, provides more experienced and more reputable individuals with a competitive advantage in obtaining new career opportunities

Societal Judgment

.In his 2011 book The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declinedcognitive psychologist Steven Pinker refers to the Matthew Effect in societies, whereby everything seems to go right in some, and wrong in others. this could be the result of a positive feedback loop in which reckless behavior by some individuals creates a chaotic environment that encourages reckless behavior by others.A large Matthew effect was discovered in a study of science funding in the Netherlands, where winners just above the funding threshold were found to accumulate more than twice as much funding during the subsequent eight years as non-winners with near-identical review scores that fell just below the threshold.

Science investigation

In science, dramatic differences in productivity may be explained by three phenomena: sacred spark, cumulative advantage, and search costs minimization by journal editors. The sacred spark paradigm suggests that scientists differ in their initial abilities, talent, skills, persistence, work habits, etc. that provide particular individuals with an early advantage. These factors have a multiplicative effect which helps these scholars succeed later. The cumulative advantage model argues that an initial success helps a researcher gain access to resources (e.g., teaching release, best graduate students, funding, facilities, etc.), which in turn results in further success. Search costs minimization by journal editors takes place when editors try to save time and effort by consciously or subconsciously selecting articles from well-known scholars. Whereas the exact mechanism underlying these phenomena is yet unknown, it is documented that a minority of all academics produce the most research output and attract the most citations.

Education

In education, the term "Matthew effect" has been adopted by psychologist Keith Stanovich and popularised by education theorist Anthony Kelly to describe a phenomenon observed in research on how new readers acquire the skills to read. Effectively, early success in acquiring reading skills usually leads to later successes in reading as the learner grows, while failing to learn to read before the third or fourth year of schooling may be indicative of lifelong problems in learning new skills.[14]This is because children who fall behind in reading would read less, increasing the gap between them and their peers. Later, when students need to "read to learn" (where before they were learning to read), their reading difficulty creates difficulty in most other subjects. In this way they fall further and further behind in school, dropping out at much higher ate than their peers.In the words of Stanovich: iling to do so negatively impacts those children.

IT Network Systems

In network science, the Matthew effect is used to describe the preferential attachment of earlier nodes in a network, which explains that these nodes tend to attract more links early on. "Because of preferential attachment, a node that acquires more connections than another one will increase its connectivity at a higher rate, and thus an initial difference in the connectivity between two nodes will increase further as the network grows, while the degree of individual nodes will grow proportional with the square root of time."  The Matthew Effect therefore explains the growth of some nodes in vast networks such as the Internet.

Markets with social influence

Social influence often induces a rich-get-richer phenomenon where popular products tend to become even more popular.  An example of the Matthew Effect's role on social influence is an experiment where people could listen to music and choose to download the songs they enjoyed the most. The song choices were unknown songs produced by unknown bands. There were two groups tested; one group was given zero additional information on the songs and one group was told the popularity of each song and the number of times it had previously been downloaded.As a result, the group that saw which songs were the most popular and were downloaded the most were then biased to choose those songs as well. The songs that were most popular and downloaded the most stayed at the top of the list and consistently received the most plays. the performance rankings had the largest effect boosting expected downloads the most. Download rankings had a decent effect; however, not as impactful as the performance rankings. Also, Abeliuk et al. (2016) proved that when utilizing “performance rankings”, a monopoly will be created for the most popular songs.

MATTHEW EFFECT

AUTHORITARIAN CYCLES IN SOCIETIES

There historically cycles of violence and overturning the prevailing system throughout history followed by periods of peace and that these Cycles are predictable- if you use a a data science or a Chaos Theory or Game Theory lens that now making the argument that now in 2024 we are approaching one of these periods of social unrest and potentially violence while hoping to nudge the elites to consider restructuring the system in a way that will solve the problem without violence.

People counter Elites -- features of one of two periods of unrest and overturning in violence --where one feature is popular unrest where the population is upset with the way Elites ( people in power ) havesort of sucked up all of the resources and are using them in a way that is felt as oppressive by the general populace.

Another problem is overproduction of Elites - opportunists, finantial, Neuavo entrepenuers aspirting--some of the rule-breaking and unfairness that goes along with vying for those Elite positions - the aspiring Elites turn around and rally up the masses'

They the nutilize the energy and the frustration of the messes to overturn the existing Elite structure -- the aspiring elites they are not necessarily those who are more hard-working or more intelligent or more talented they are simply those who have more Social or finantial Power the ability to influence other people

A more descriptive term for Elites is "POWER HOLDERS "which now causes the to feel disenfranshed andmass disillusionment occurs

Because of this natural property the Matthew principle and this principle comes from the Bible verse that says for to everyone who has more will be given --and he will have an abundance but from him who has not--- even what he has will be taken away. the middle person gets more and more crunched by the system where people with power can use that power to get more power and this is true of all kinds of systems including ecological systems

it's not just capitalism or just socialism this is a natural property of systems and if you're upset by the fact that that experiment is purely luck based you could redo the experiment where the rejiggering of money was based on hard work or Talent or whatever and what you'll find is the same thing

Deaths of Despair and to the plight of people without a college degree who have seen falling wages for for quite a while so these people are recognizing that the system is sucking them dry and the system is set up so that even if they do work hard and you know follow follow the rules or whatnot they're still kind of getting crunched now turchin is going to refer to MATTHEW PRINCIPLE AS THE MONEY PUMP

Where resources sort of get sucked up more and more into the higher classes and hollow out the middle class as they sort of pull resources from from the middle class

Elite overproduction is another part of this story and the analogy of musical chairs -' you have the same number of chairs which represent like seats of power like positions in Congress or professorships where you have a group of students underneath you who are you know doing your research or whatnot it also includes media positions of power positions of power and Regulatory bodies it's all different types of power but

there's a limited number of seats that are sort of the seats everyone's competing for and as more and more people get educated and get the degrees they tend to move up and eventually fill those seats

it gets more and more competitive and the musical chairs analogy is basically that the chairs are there but the number of people competing to sort of sit in one of those chairs

When the Music Stops that is growing and potentially growing exponentially over time based on the same Matthew principle that we talked about before and what that means of course is that he says when the competition gets so Fierce People will start breaking the rules and they'll start doing things that are not healthy for the system

the other aspiring Elites are going to notice that the system's not very fair that frustration will bubble over and when you combine the frustration of those two groups like The Elites that see the problems with the system and that are sort of in this competitive race and fresh frustrated themselves you combine some of them with the Grievances of the general populace that's a recipe for one of these moments of disaster

the United States is a plutocracy where the what happens in Congress what laws get enacted those are highly correlated with the wishes and the wills of the top 10 percent of income earners or the top one percent of income earners

whereas someone is in the 50th percentile their political will has no correlation with what actually gets enacted . so we live in a plutocracy that's determined by a small group of Elites and that is what people are riling up against

the 2020s will be one of these moments of sort of overturning of the existing order and it could actually lead to improvements in the system a more just system, or it could lead to a long period of violence. a long period of unrest. or it could lead to a short period of violence followed by uh some sort of overturning of the system itha may make it worse after the battle, than before.

Elites that have the most power can switch between the competing groups of Elites - there are military Elites, there are government Elites ,there are economic Elites ,there are persuasive Elites (which nowadays includes the media but in times past were The church and Kings), t one version of this switching is that the power could shift from say the economic Elites , the economic Elites are actually the most powerful of these groups in the United States ,

Historically these top positions were like Kings and Church rulers and the system that determined who got to embody these ruler roles was inheritance or instatunial succedence) the rate of these sometimes violent episodes is going to be faster and they've seen that historically that you've got a lot of people vying for these roles when you allow more people to move into the rules including children who are not with your wife and then if you have a system where everybody knows it's the firstborn son by your legally legitimate wife then that will slow down the rate at which these violent overturnings happen but it won't stop them like they're still going to happen that's a historic inevitability so t

The question is if there's going to be a system change that leads to downward Mobility so there's not so many people competing for these Elite Saints .what will that look like because like a really bad version from the past is actually reduce the population by by killing some of these aspiring Elites and what are other ways this could happen well he actually points to the New Deal in the 1930s as a good version of this ,where basically the elites agreed to have a higher marginal tax rate at the top so that the money was redistributed to sort of appease the population that was getting getting a little bit of unrest and a little bit of frustration that could have come out in a different way .

Elite positions actually do serve a function in the economy and in the power structure and that's perhaps different positions in different times in history but even kings and queens had a role of keeping the peace --arbitrating between conflicts of people in the population but It's their cognitive constraits of human nature and the nature of "group sizing" that many times causes them to abdicate their responsibility and empathy to their subjects. In addition to aformentioned restraints their compartmentalization or detachment from their subjects augments the problem--eg " Let them eat cake "

When the elites fail to serve the social roles ,we have better mechanisms for making sure people who reach those Elite positions are serving their social functions well -

If we look at the Elite positions in the modern economy ,this includes CEOs and professors and scientists of various sorts ,and film filmmakers, artists ,newscasters, all of those people have those seats and each of those seats do serve a social purpose0- we want good people who are highly qualified ,who care about those at the bottom of the hierarchy .

So when people start to break the rules, it's no wonder that both ---- The counter Elites or the aspiring Elites and the general populace is going to feel alienated

The 20th century changed the structure of the economy it led to the rise of these huge corporations and that structured the economy but then in the modern era the digital age is a it could be that different indicators are going to tell whether we're about to switch into one cycle or another like a revolutionary period or a peaceful period -I when violence and overturning and power ,part of the power that's different now ,f-digital forms of enforcement that are - easier to do. If you lock someone out of their bank account - kick someone out of social media or with social credit scores. That's a new type of power

it seem like economic power is the main source of power that IS BEING used to measure the current economy -that Network Power is a bigger deal in today's age Network -media Power is hard to measure so economic power is a pretty good proxy it's highly correlated with Network Power,in some ways Network Power actually mixes Financial power and administrative power government power military power all of those things are sort of wrapped up in Network Power .

People can be really wealthy without much Network Power - but they're not really going to be the kinds of Elites that matter in the system .Whatever restructuring we have is going to have to pay more attention to all of the types of power, including Network Power ,that's associated with digital power and protection of people's rights .

AUTHORITARIAN --ELITE GROUP CYCLES

GROUP SIZING

. There are clear limits to the size of groups that can be formed and maintained in such a way. In order to function, all members of a group must know each other intimately. Two chimpanzees who have never met, never fought, and never engaged in mutual grooming will not know whether they can trust one another, whether it would be worthwhile to help one another, and which of them ranks higher. Under natural conditions, a typical chimpanzee troop consists of about twenty to fifty individuals. As the number of chimpanzees in a troop increases, the social order destabilises, eventually leading to a rupture and the formation of a new troop by some of the animals. Only in a handful of cases have zoologists observed groups larger than a hundred. Separate groups seldom cooperate, and tend to compete for territory and food. Researchers have documented prolonged warfare between groups, and even one case of ‘genocidal’ activity in which one troop systematically slaughtered most members of a neighbouring band.2 Similar patterns probably dominated the social lives of early humans, including archaic Homo sapiens.

Humans, like chimps, have social instincts that enabled our ancestors to form friendships and hierarchies, and to hunt or fight together. However, like the social instincts of chimps, those of humans were adapted only for small intimate groups.

When the group grew too large, its social order destabilised and the band split. Even if a particularly fertile valley could feed 500 archaic Sapiens, there was no way that so many strangers could live together. How could they agree who should be leader, who should hunt where, or who should mate with whom? In the wake of the Cognitive Revolution, gossip helped Homo sapiens to form larger and more stable bands. But even gossip has its limits. Sociological research has shown that the maximum ‘natural’ size of a group bonded by gossip is about 150 individuals.

Most people can neither intimately know, nor gossip effectively about, more than 150 human beings. Even today, a critical threshold in human organisations falls somewhere around this magic number. Below this threshold, communities, businesses, social networks and military units can maintain themselves based mainly on intimate acquaintance and rumour-mongering. But once the threshold of 150 individuals is crossed, things can no longer work that way. You cannot run a division with thousands of soldiers the same way you run a platoon. Successful family businesses usually face a crisis when they grow larger and hire more personnel. If they cannot reinvent themselves, they go bust.

How did Homo sapiens manage to cross this critical threshold, eventually founding cities comprising tens of thousands of inhabitants and empires ruling hundreds of millions? The secret was probably the appearance of "a binding Story " ( Harari) organized religon, cultural identies ,political Ideology and other binding thoughts , group histories Large numbers of strangers can cooperate successfully by believing IN COMMON MYTHS Group size was also a critical factor, with an upper limit of around 150 individuals - the "Dunbar number" - facilitating social cohesion. Our brains specialized in facial recognition, relationship tracking and deal-making within these tribe-like clusters. Modern family businesses tapping into this human-scale dynamic enjoy considerable success worldwide.However, as organizations expand beyond this manageable size, an "iron law of oligarchy" tends to emerge. The proposed "Iron Law of Oligarchy," by Robert Michels, further explains the inevitability of oligarchic tendencies in organizations:

Iron Law of Oligarchy

This theory points to the observstion that in any organization, power tends to become concentrated in the hands of a small elite, regardless of the organization's democratic structure or initial intentions. Implications: This suggests that even in democratic systems, power can become concentrated among a select few, undermining democratic principles.

Michels argued that the structural realities of organizing large groups, such as the need for leadership and delegation, inherently lead to the emergence of a small elite who control decision-making.The desire for power and influence is a common human trait. In organizations, this desire can lead individuals to compete for leadership positions and form alliances to secure their power.

They can form Bureaucratic Hierarchy: Bureaucratic structures, with their emphasis on hierarchy and control, provide a fertile ground for the development of oligarchies. Once established, oligarchies tend to resist changes that threaten their power. This can stifle innovation and prevent the organization from adapting to new circumstances.

Ways The Power of Oligarchy can be Manipulated to Control People:

Authoritarianism: This involves the suppression of political opposition, limitation of civil liberties, and manipulation of elections to maintain control. Implications: This undermines democracy, stifles dissent and innovation, and perpetuates inequality and injustice.

Propaganda and misinformation: Political actors may spread biased narratives, demonize opponents, and manipulate public opinion through false information and censorship. Implications: This can undermine individual autonomy, suppress critical thinking, and lead to the erosion of trust in institutions.

Repression of dissent: Governments may employ tactics such as censorship, surveillance, harassment, and imprisonment to silence dissenting voices and intimidate political opponents. Implications: This violates basic freedoms, stifles free speech, and creates a climate of fear.

Political patronage and Nepotism: Politicians may reward loyal supporters with government jobs, contracts, or other privileges, consolidating their power and creating a system of cronyism and corruption. Implications: This undermines public trust, erodes meritocracy, and perpetuates inequality.

Polarization and division: Political actors may exploit social, ethnic, religious, or ideological divisions to sow discord and consolidate power. Implications: This can lead to increased social tensions, discrimination, and the erosion of social cohesion. the postmoderm ideas- FOUCAULT-CRT( EVERYTHING IS OPPRESSOR vs VICTIM)-- politically cunning but disruptive to any socierty

Dunbar number and The 'Iron Law of Oligarchy'

GENOCIDE

Ordinary people can willingly accept their societal role – even when it contributes to genocide. Arendt called this phenomenon “the banality of evil,” and warned that it can emerge whenever society inhibits our ability to think; or more specifically, to question our beliefs and actions in a self-reflective internal dialogue. Arendt believed this kind of thinking is the only way to confront moral problems, and that our responsibility to self-reflect is especially important when independent thought is threatened. She acknowledged that critical thinking in oppressive spaces is a defiant act that requires personal courage. HANNA ARENDT

The discourse that precedes genocide in genocide all states and the enhancement of a sense of victimization on the part of one of the groups usually the group that's going to commit the genocide

first of all their sense as their sense of being victims is much heightened by the demagogues who are trying to stir up this sort of hatred so they basically say look you've been oppressed in a variety of ways and these are the people who did it and they're not going to stop doing it and this time we're going to get them before they get us

it's something like that and so there's something very pathological about the enhancement of victimization which is well see that the problem as far as Ike I'm concerned with it is it's not it's not thought through very well because there's there's a point that's being made and the point is that people have been oppressed and they suffer and that's true that point but that's but then the proper framework from within which to interpret that I believe is that that's characteristic of life

You can't take it personally in some sense and you can't divide the world neatly into perpetrators and victims and you certainly can't divide that world neatly into perpetrators and victims and then assume that you're only in the victim class and then assume that that gives you certain access to certain forms of redress

Let's say it gets dangerous very rapidly if you do that sort of thing so for example one of the things that characterized the Soviet Union and this was particularly true in the 1920s but but afterwards so

The Soviets were very much enamored of the idea of class guilt so for example although it was only about 40 years previously that the serfs had been emancipated they weren't much more than slaves and so that was the bulk of the Russian population they were bought and sold along with the land so they had been emancipated and some of them many of them had turned in independent farmers and some of them have become reasonably prosperous because at least in principle I presume a certain proportion of them from being crooked but I presume a larger proportion from actually being able to raise food

At that time the bulk of the Russian food population was produced by these relatively successful peasant farmers and relatively successful would mean maybe they had a brick house or something and maybe they had a couple of cows and maybe they were able to hire a few people and so you know it wasn't like they were massive landowners or anything

THE Pareto principle and the notion that in any domain of activity a small proportion of people end up producing most of what's in that domain of activity the same was true in Communist Russia with regards to these peasant farmers-- some of them were extraordinarily efficient and they produced most of Russia's food when the Communists came in they described those land holders as parasites essentially predicated on the marxist idea that if someone had extracted profit from an enterprise that they had basically stolen from them. That profit from from from the people say that they had employed or otherwise oppressed and so you could be a member of that class you were automatically guilty-so when the intellectuals came in and described the reason that these people should be treated as parasites and profiteers, then it was the resentful minority in those towns -they packed these people up and sent them on trains with no food out to Siberia wheremany many people died millions of people died as a consequence of this attitude at least in in as a consequence --- if you were a mother and and so you're supposed to handle your grain into the Central Committee mostly for distribution into the cities you didn't get to keep any for yourself --If a mother ,you'd go out in the fields ,that had already been harvested, and you pick up individual grains of wheat-- and if you didn't turn those in they that was death for you

So that's how far it was pushed so well-- so that's a little story about how victimization how the idea of victimization and perpetration can get out of hand extraordinarily rapidly --

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DeYRK16PIlA&t=36s